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本文从近海异常海温的定义和形成机制出发，在原有的海表温度数值预报模式的基础上，考虑了上层海洋对强天气强迫的动力响应和浅海效应，前者包括卷入和卷出、冷水抽吸和暖水辐聚，后者包括潮混合和浅海对短波吸收之影响，从而建立了一个以混合层的温、流、深度为变量的中国近海异常海温数值预报模式．
In this paper, based on the definition and formation mechanism of the anomalous offshore sea temperature in the offshore region, the dynamic response and shallow sea effect of the upper ocean to strong weather forcing are considered on the basis of the original numerical model of the sea surface temperature. The former includes wind-in and roll- Suction and warm water convergence. The latter includes the effects of tidal mixing and shallow water on the absorption of shortwave, thus establishing a numerical model for predicting the anomalous SST anomalies in the offshore China based on the temperature, flow and depth of the mixed layer.