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本文基于福建省和江苏省桔小实蝇重灾区370户果农的调查数据,运用有序Probit模型,分析了影响果农对农业外来入侵动物桔小实蝇(bactrocera dorsalis)防治意愿的因素及其作用方向。研究结果表明,福建和江苏两省果农对桔小实蝇的防治意愿存在很大差异;果农受教育程度、家庭农业劳动力人数、水果收入占家庭收入的比重、果树种植面积、水果销售比重、果农风险认知情况、政府组织的技术培训、政府提供的技术指导以及政府补贴对果农的桔小实蝇防治意愿有显著的正向影响;果农果树种植年数对其桔小实蝇防治意愿有显著的负向影响。
Based on the survey data of 370 farmer forages in Fujian and Jiangsu Province, the Probit model was used to analyze the factors that affect the willingness of farmers to control the invasive alien species of bactrocera dorsalis. direction. The results showed that there was a great difference in the prevention and control intentions among fruit growers in Fujian and Jiangsu Provinces. The educational level of farmers, the number of family agricultural workers, the proportion of fruit income to household income, the area of fruit trees planted, the proportion of fruit sales, Risk cognition, technical training of government organizations, technical guidance provided by the government, and government subsidies have a significant positive impact on the willingness of farmers to control their fruit fly; the number of fruit trees for planting fruit trees has significant significant Negative impact.