1992年的经济形势能否继续趋于好转将取决于多种因素的影响,其中投资 增长是主要因素。“七五”以来的经验告诉我们:在经济增长速度和投资规模之间应保持适当的比例,在这一意义上,合理的经济增长速度是测算年度投资增长的前提。 “八五”计划所确定的经济增长速度为GNP年均增长6％,这是一个充分留有余地的计划目标。1991年的GNP增长速度预计在7％左右。1992年的经济发展趋势取决于信贷政策的松紧程度和当前清理“三角债”的工作能否在年内取得成效。可以有几种设想:为使经 Whether the economic situation in 1992 will continue to improve will depend on many factors, of which investment growth is the major factor. The experience since the “Seventh Five-year Plan” tells us: In the sense that an appropriate proportion of economic growth and investment size should be maintained, a reasonable rate of economic growth is a prerequisite for measuring annual investment growth. The economic growth rate set by the “Eighth Five-Year Plan” is an average annual growth of GNP of 6%. This is a planned goal with sufficient room. GNP growth in 1991 is expected to be around 7%. The trend of economic development in 1992 depends on the tightness of credit policies and whether the current work of clearing the “triangular debt” can yield results during the year. There are several assumptions you can make: