此次研讨会上的热点争议是股市是否存在泡沫的问题。2006年年末随着上证指数大幅度上涨,泡沫再次成为资本市场讨论的焦点。特别是上证指数到了三千点之后,国内关于股市是否虚高,是否泡沫,以及一些国际机构对中国股市的判断产生了很多争议。有人认为中国股市是“黄金十年”,而相反的观点则认为中国股市在2007年一定要下跌30%,甚至下跌50%。 The hot debate at this seminar is whether there is a bubble in the stock market. As the Shanghai Composite Index soared in late 2006, the bubble once again became the focus of discussion in the capital market. In particular, after the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3,000, there has been much controversy in the domestic market about whether the stock market is inflated, whether it is a bubble, and the judgments of some international agencies on the Chinese stock market. Some people think that the Chinese stock market is the “golden decade,” while the opposite view is that China’s stock market in 2007 must be down 30%, or even down 50%.