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有报告预计,2014年国内天然气的市场供需仍将保持紧平衡,需求继续快速增长,占一次能源消费比重或增至6.3%。对未来中国天然气的供需形势,有专家预计,中国天然气产量在2015年有达到1340亿立方米的可能,如其商品率可达90%,则供应量有达到1206亿立方米的可能。综合天然气储量、产量的变化趋势,我国天然气的发展已出现由青年期向壮年期过渡的迹象,增长速度已趋缓。
It is estimated that the supply and demand of natural gas in the domestic market will maintain a tight balance in 2014, and the demand will continue to grow rapidly, accounting for 6.3% of the primary energy consumption. Some experts predict that the output of natural gas in China will reach 134 billion cubic meters in 2015. If the commodity rate is up to 90%, the supply may reach 120.6 billion cubic meters. Taking into account the changing trend of natural gas reserves and output, signs of the transition from adolescence to males have emerged in the development of China’s natural gas, and the growth rate has slowed down.