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预测是人们在已经掌握过去和现在的基础上,预计和推测未来的一种手段。预测是在调查和研究两个阶段之后进行的,调查就是搜集情报,研究就是对所掌握的情报事实进行分解整序,运用正确的思维和推理法,使之由繁变简,从偶然向必然定向运动,激发认识产生突变和飞跃,给预测者点燃新的火花,去揭示没有直接显现的规律,但是,没有情报的系统积累,预测就成了无米之炊,其结果只能是“未卜先知”的空想和幻觉。预测重在分析,贵在方法。预测的方法
Forecasting is a means by which people anticipate and speculate on the basis of their past and present. Prediction is carried out after two stages of investigation and research. The investigation is to collect intelligence. Research is to decompose and rectify the facts of information available, and use the correct thinking and reasoning method to make it change from simplification to inevitability Orienteering triggers a sudden change and a leap in consciousness, igniting new sparks for forecasters and revealing laws that do not appear directly. However, without systematic accumulation of intelligence, predictions have become predictable and the result can only be the dream of “an unknown prophet” And hallucinations. Prediction is important in analysis and expensive in methods. Prediction method