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为了建立科学的评价评估体系,近年来一些公安机关相继开展了对反映社会治安状况与公安工作绩效的常态值分析测算方法的研究。利用环境因素指标和常态值指标间的相关性、可信度及回归分析等方法,可以找到具有可靠性和较高可信度的常态值测算方法,建立相关预测模型。依托这种方法和建模方式,能够较为客观地测算出特定区域、特定时期社会治安状况与公安工作绩效的期望值,为基层公安机关科学评估工作绩效、及时调整勤务机制、动态科学布警提供依据。
In order to establish a scientific evaluation system, some public security organs have successively carried out research on the analysis and measurement of normal values reflecting the performance of public order and public security in recent years. By using the correlation between environmental indicators and normal value indicators, reliability and regression analysis, we can find the normal value calculation method with reliability and high credibility, and establish the relevant prediction model. Relying on this method and modeling method, we can objectively estimate the expected value of public security performance and public security work performance in specific regions, specific periods and provide basis for grass-roots public security organs to scientifically assess work performance, timely adjust the service mechanism and dynamic science, .