论文部分内容阅读
在经济增长高于9%的情况下,说硬着陆,谈滞胀不仅违背经济学的基本原理和概念,更与中国经济的实际情况不符。在国家统计局公布上半年的经济数据之前,对于中国经济上半年及未来的表现,学界和市场人士分歧很多。有如我认为总体表现良好的,但根据笔者的观察,也有一些经济学家和市场人士自二季度伊始就开始担心中国经济很有可能硬着陆,担心中国经济滞胀。在笔者看来,9.6%的增长完全可以打一个A+以上的分数。在经济增长高于9%的情况下,说硬着陆,谈滞胀不仅违背经济学的基本原理和概念,更与中国经济的实际情况不符。
When the economic growth is above 9%, saying hard landing, talking about stagflation not only violates the basic principles and concepts of economics, but also does not correspond with the actual situation in China’s economy. Before the release of the first half of the economic data by the National Bureau of Statistics, there were many differences between academics and market participants over the performance of the Chinese economy in the first half of the year and in the future. As I think the overall performance is good, but according to the author’s observation, some economists and market participants have been worried from the beginning of the second quarter that the Chinese economy is likely to make a hard landing and are worried about China’s economic stagnation. In my opinion, 9.6% growth can hit a score above A +. When the economic growth is above 9%, saying hard landing, talking about stagflation not only violates the basic principles and concepts of economics, but also does not correspond with the actual situation in China’s economy.