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构建了包含碳排放模块的多区域CGE模型,它可以用来模拟分析多种碳排放交易制度的政策情景,包括多种初始分配(免费发放与拍卖)方式、区域之间是否可以交易、试点情景、全国情景等;不仅可以模拟这些情景对产业结构和碳排放的影响,而且还可以分析其对我国区域经济和碳交易市场的影响.我国碳交易试点未来的发展趋势是全国碳交易市场,实现区域间的交易,因此,以跨区交易为例进行了应用模拟,结果表明跨区交易可以大大提高减排效率.
A multi-region CGE model containing a carbon emission module is constructed, which can be used to simulate the policy scenarios for analyzing various carbon emissions trading schemes, including a variety of initial distribution (free distribution and auction), whether the region can be traded between, pilot scenarios , National scenarios, etc .; not only can simulate the impact of these scenarios on the industrial structure and carbon emissions, but also can analyze its impact on China’s regional economy and carbon trading market.The future development trend of China’s carbon trading pilot is the national carbon trading market, to achieve Therefore, taking the trans-regional transaction as an example, the application simulation is carried out. The result shows that trans-regional transaction can greatly improve the emission reduction efficiency.