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运用博弈论方法分析集装箱班轮航线的船舶配置决策行为.通过建立模型,描述集装箱班轮航路中存在多条航线时,各条航线通过船舶配置数量的决策来优化其利润,以达到纳什均衡的过程,并分析各个相关因素对船舶配置决策和最优利润变化的影响.分析认为,航路竞争激烈程度与最优配船数量呈同向变化,与最优利润呈反向变化;船价与最优配船数量、最优利润呈反向变化;船用燃油价格与最优配船数量呈同向变化,与最优利润呈反向变化.
This paper uses game theory to analyze the ship configuration decision-making behavior of container liner routes.According to the model to describe the existence of multiple routes in the container liner route, each route through the allocation of the number of ships to optimize its profits in order to achieve Nash equilibrium process, And analyzes the influence of each relevant factor on the decision of ship’s allocation and the change of the optimal profit.The analysis shows that the intensity of the route competition changes in the same direction with the optimum number of ships and changes inversely with the optimal profit, The number of ships and the optimal profit changed in the opposite direction. The price of marine fuel changed in the same direction as the optimal number of vessels, and contrasted with the optimal profit.