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一些最新数字表明,全世界科学刊物总数已达100000种,其中约20000～25000种属生物医学类。生物医学刊物中,大约15000种为“严肃性”刊物(有数据资料,有参考文献,采取审稿制等方法)。然而,这种所谓的“膨胀”是一种假象。自1665年严肃刊物产生以来,这种膨胀率每年始终保持在5％到7％之间。当然,现在的科学家比当初要多得多,但是期刊数目与科学家数目之比率却是稳定的。这是一种中肯的提法。它的根据是爱德华·胡思(Edward Huth)医生一些未发表的
Some of the latest figures show that the total number of scientific journals in the world has reached 100,000, of which about 20,000 to 25,000 belong to the biomedical category. About 15,000 biomedical publications are “serious” publications (data sources, references, peer review, etc.). However, this so-called “bloat” is an illusion. Since the serious publication in 1665, this rate of inflation has remained between 5% and 7% annually. Of course, there are far more scientists now than ever before, but the ratio between the number of journals and the number of scientists is stable. This is a fair term. It is based on a few unpublished reports by Dr. Edward Huth