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2001年的世界经济阴霾重重,由美国经济衰退导致的世界性经济下滑在全球许多地区引起恐慌,在一些国家甚至演变成社会性动乱和危机,21世纪头一年的世界经济便在这种尚未了结的混乱中落下帷幕。随着新年钟声的敲响,世界各国,无论是政府、经济学界、工商界,还是普通老百姓,都将目光投向了2002年的世界经济。新的一年中,世界经济能否走出衰退的阴影,雨过天晴?或是继续深陷衰退泥潭,不可自拔?在未来世界经济的走势中,有哪些积极的因素可以使景气再现,不确定的因素又有哪些?本期专题报道对上述问题作了深入的分析和预测。此外,为帮助读者在信息爆炸的时代能够对世界经济走势作出自己的判断,本刊记者还走访了几位从事世界经济研究的专家,介绍了一些如何判断世界经济形势的基本方法。
The world economy in 2001 was badly covered by the haze. The global economic downturn caused by the U.S. recession caused panic in many parts of the world. In some countries it even evolved into social unrest and crisis. The world economy in the first year of the 21st century will be the same. Closure of the mess came to an end. With the bell of the New Year, all countries in the world, whether government, economists, business people or ordinary people, are turning their attention to the world economy in 2002. In the new year, can the world economy emerge from the shadow of the recession and get better? Or continue to plunge into the quagmire of the recession? Are there any positive elements in the future trend of world economy that can make the economy not recur? What are the determinants? The special report of this issue made in-depth analysis and forecast of the above problems. In addition, in order to help readers make their own judgments on the world economic trends during the information explosion era, our correspondents also visited several experts engaged in world economic studies and introduced some basic methods on how to judge the world economic situation.