我国是世界上最大的棕榈油进口国和消费国,棕榈油消费对外依存度较高。本文主要采用单位根检验、协整检验、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果检验等计量方法,对2002年1月至2012年3月国际棕榈油价格及国内棕榈油、花生油、大豆油、菜籽油价格数据进行实证分析,进而研究国际棕榈油与我国植物油现货市场价格的关联性,最后提出相关政策建议。 China is the largest importer and consumer of palm oil in the world with a high degree of dependence on foreign palm oil. In this paper, the unit root test, cointegration test, error correction model, Granger causality test and other measurement methods, from January 2002 to March 2012 international palm oil prices and domestic palm oil, peanut oil, soybean oil, rapeseed Oil price data for empirical analysis, and then study the international palm oil and vegetable oil spot market price relevance, and finally put forward the relevant policy recommendations.