伍德麦肯兹认为中国页岩气将在2020年后加速发展,中国页岩气未来一定会大发展,估计2030年产量为1500×108m~3,主要产地是四川盆地和塔里木盆地。2020年之前年产量不超过300×108m~3。2020年之前页岩气开发面临的困难比较多:中国页岩气储量的地质学认识以及开发技术存在限制;国家石油公司主导局面下的页岩气投资效率具有不确定性以及页 Wood Mackenzie believes shale gas in China will accelerate after 2020. The future development of shale gas in China is bound to have a great development. It is estimated that the output in 2030 will reach 1500 × 108 m 3, with the main producing areas being the Sichuan Basin and the Tarim Basin. The annual output before 2020 does not exceed 300 × 108m ~ 3. There are more difficulties in shale gas development before 2020: there is a limitation in geology and development technology for shale gas reserves in China; shale dominated by National Petroleum Company Gas investment efficiency is uncertain as well as pages