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中国经济经过新世纪头十年的超高速增长(年均增速达10.48%)后,从2011年起增速逐渐下滑(2011年为9.3%,2012年为7.7%,2013年为7.7%,2014年为7.3%或7.4%)。政府采取了很多措施,企求在7%左右稳定下来。笔者认为,现阶段(包括“十三五”期间)如果措施得力,改革发力,7%左右的增速是能稳住的,经济转型是能逐步推进的。这也是保持经济新常态的主要着力点。
After the rapid economic growth in the first decade of the new century (an average annual growth rate of 10.48%), the growth rate of China’s economy has been gradually declining since 2011 (9.3% in 2011, 7.7% in 2012, 7.7% in 2013, 7.3% or 7.4% in 2014). The government has taken many measures to try to stabilize at about 7%. The author believes that at this stage (including the period of “13th Five-Year Plan”), if the measures are effective and the reform is exerting force, the growth rate of about 7% will be able to stabilize and the economic restructuring can be progressed step by step. This is also the main focus of maintaining a new economic normal.