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根据实际形势的发展，对“九五”期初国内镀锌板带的需求预测进行校核，提 出 新的预测结果。本文选择消费强度法和回归分析法两种方法进行预测。前者预测结果是 2 0 05年国内镀锌板带消费量为 425万 t；后者则为 487.82万 t。因此分析推理认为： 2005 年我国镀锌板带需求总量为 425～ 480万 t。
According to the development of the actual situation, the demand forecast of domestic galvanized strip at the beginning of the Ninth Five-Year Plan period was checked and new forecast results were put forward. In this paper, we choose two methods of consumption intensity and regression analysis to predict. The former predicts that the domestic consumption of galvanized steel strip will be 4.25 million tons in 2005 and 487.82 million tons in the latter. Therefore, the analysis reasoning that: in 2005 the total demand for galvanized steel plate of 425 ~ 480 million t.