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市场经济下的宏观经济运行是由微观机制决定的。本次经济衰退是我国经济自身调整的需要,但因强劲的外部需求和畸形的投资扩张延缓了约两年时间,由此加深了潜伏已久的衰退力量,而持续的紧缩政策更是火上浇油。从整个企业成本收益的关系看,近两年内,成本的下降要慢于收入的减少,因而经济会在利润下降中继续衰退,但力度会逐渐减轻;两年后,成本的下降会快于收入的减少,甚至出现成本下降与收入增加的情况,故经济又会在利润回升中增长。此外,研究发现,我国经济的全面复苏可能要滞后于欧美国家。
The macroeconomic operation under the market economy is determined by the micro mechanism. This economic downturn, which is needed by China’s own economic restructuring, was delayed by about two years due to strong external demand and an abnormal expansion of investment, thereby deepening the long-dormant recessionary force. The ongoing policy of austerity is even more on fire Oiling. From the perspective of the cost-benefit of the entire enterprise, in the past two years, the cost will decline more slowly than the decrease in income. As a result, the economy will continue to decline in profit decline but the intensity will gradually decrease. After two years, the cost will drop faster than the revenue Of the decline, or even lower costs and higher incomes, so the economy will rise again in the profit recovery. In addition, the study found that China’s overall economic recovery may lag behind the United States and Europe.