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严重纵向人机耦合事件是公认的危及飞行安全问题 ,出现概率一般为 10 -6.若采用传统的频率统计法进行趋势预测 ,需要的样本数大于 10 7个 ,工程实际中是无法实现的 .为此 ,文中提出了有效的随机数渐近线分布法对其进行评估 .
Serious vertical man-machine coupling events are recognized as endangering flight safety problems, with a typical probability of 10 -6. If traditional frequency statistics are used for trend forecasting, the required number of samples is more than 10 7, which can not be achieved in practice. To this end, the paper proposed an effective asymptotic distribution of random numbers to evaluate it.