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未来一段时期,我国油品消费将增速放缓,市场竞争加剧,炼油产业面临较困难的市场环境,短期内汽油消费增长较快,消费柴汽比呈下降趋势;长期来看,新能源汽车的发展,必然会取代内燃机,乘用车会逐步被清洁的新能源汽车所取代,汽柴油消费会收缩。炼油产业,尤其是燃料型炼油厂,要适应市场的发展变化,短期内在质量升级、降低柴汽比、优化产品结构、降低加工费用上下功夫,长期来看要向炼化一体化或化工型转变。
In the future period, the consumption growth of China’s oil products will slow down and the market competition will intensify. The refining industry will face a more difficult market environment. Gasoline consumption will grow rapidly in the short term, while the consumption diesel-gas ratio will decrease. In the long run, new energy vehicles Of the development will inevitably replace the internal combustion engine, passenger vehicles will be gradually replaced by clean new energy vehicles, gasoline and diesel consumption will shrink. Refining industries, especially fuel-based oil refineries, should adapt to the development and changes of the market. In the short term, they should make efforts to upgrade their products and lower their diesel-to-petrol ratio, optimize their product mix and reduce their processing costs. In the long run, they should shift to refining and chemical integration or chemical conversion .