本文运用1996~2012年中国林业产业产值和内部第一、二、三产业的面板数据,采用固定效应模型对林业产值增长进行空间分析。估计结果表明,第三产业和林业生产能力对林业产值有显著的正向影响,第二产业、耕地面积和人均生产总值对林业产值提升存在负面影响。最后,本文提出促进林业产业发展的对策与建议。 In this paper, the panel data of China’s forestry output value and the first, second and third industries in China from 1996 to 2012 are used to analyze the growth of forestry output value by the fixed effect model. The estimation results show that the tertiary industry and forestry productivity have a significant positive impact on the output value of forestry, while the secondary industry, cultivated land area and GDP per capita have a negative impact on the forestry output value. Finally, this article puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the development of forestry industry.