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2006年,产业景气总体将平稳回落,中游投资品行业总体景气下降,重工业主导工业增长的格局不会改变,重化工业快速发展态势依旧保持,结构调整继续向有利方向转变。伴随着中国经济的温和回落,工程机械行业在2005年,特别是下半年销售呈快速上升的趋势,2006年是“十一五”规划的开局年,工程机械行业在本轮经济上升初期将根据行业的发展特征,提前进入经济增长通道。一方面,考虑原材料因为部分行业的产能过剩因素影响,工程机械行业产品成本将有所降低,企业利润将会有所提高。另一方面,跨国公司的并购行为也将使市场竞争更残酷。同时,预测表明宏观经济总体在2006年上半年仍处于下降通道,固定资产投资、货币供应、中长期贷款和工业生产、物价指数、信贷规模等各项指标等都将受到不同程度影响,对于需求中的行业产品而言,小型工程机械产品、多功能工程机械产品、二手进口产品等都会更积极地进入消费市场,市场竞争不容乐观。
In 2006, the industry boom will generally decline smoothly. The overall prosperity of the investment goods industry in the middle reaches will decline. The pattern of the growth of the leading industries in heavy industry will not change. The rapid development of the heavy chemical industry will continue to be maintained and the structural adjustment will continue to change in a favorable direction. With the moderate economic slowdown in China, construction machinery industry in 2005, especially in the second half sales showed a rapid upward trend in 2006 is the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” the first year of construction machinery industry in the current economic rise will be based on The characteristics of the development of the industry, access to economic growth ahead of schedule. On the one hand, taking into account the impact of raw materials due to overcapacity in some industries, the cost of construction machinery industry products will be reduced, corporate profits will increase. On the other hand, the M & A of multinational corporations will also make market competition more cruel. In the meantime, the forecast shows that the overall macroeconomy is still in a downtrend in the first half of 2006. Various indicators such as fixed asset investment, money supply, medium and long-term loans and industrial production, price indices and credit scale will all be affected to varying degrees. For the demand In the industry products, small construction machinery products, multi-purpose engineering machinery products, second-hand imported products will be more active in the consumer market, the market competition is not optimistic.