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宏观经济环境分析1.下半年经济走势的判断1995年上半年在经济运行总体态势向好的方面转化的同时,也出现了一些值得注意的新情况与新问题,一是农业生产资料价格上涨过猛,工农产品比价复归的现象严重,加大了农业生产成本;二是少数地方在建设摊子已经铺得过大的情况下,今年以来又自行决定新开了一大批项目,1—6月新开工项目计划总投资1621亿元,比去年同期增长45.6%,使在建规模过大的矛盾进一步加剧。三是部分企业对宏观体制条件变化的应变能力差,不能适应市场竞争的新形势,致使开工不足,停产、半停产情况比较突出,企业综合经济效益进一步下降,亏损额有增无减;四是某些地区生产发展速度下降过快,物价水平仍在高位徘徊,个别地区已出现滞胀苗头。
Analysis of the macroeconomic environment 1. Judgment of economic trends in the second half of the year In the first half of 1995, while the overall trend of economic operations was improving, some new and new problems that were worthy of attention also appeared. First, the price of agricultural production materials rose. In the fierce situation, the return of the prices of industrial and agricultural products was serious, which increased the cost of agricultural production. Second, in a situation where a small number of construction stalls have been set too large, this year it has decided on its own to open a large number of new projects. From January to June, new The total project investment for the start-up project is 162.1 billion yuan, an increase of 45.6% over the same period of last year, which further exacerbates the contradiction of over-scale construction. Third, some enterprises have poor ability to respond to changes in macroeconomic conditions, and cannot adapt to the new situation of market competition, resulting in insufficient start-ups, relatively obstructed or semi-discontinued production, and a further decline in the overall economic efficiency of enterprises, resulting in an increase in losses; In some areas, the pace of production growth has been falling too fast, prices are still high, and stagflation has already begun to appear in some regions.