2008年三季度以来,内外部诸多不利因素的叠加使得当前中国经济最大的风险在于,随着经济增速的下降,经济下行过头的风险已日渐显著。当然,目前中国经济增速下降在一定程度上也是监管层主动调控的结果,中国经济增长的内生动力依然较强。如果能够充分把握工业化、城镇化及消费升级的机遇,中国经济仍可实现平稳、较快增长。因此,下一阶段的政策走向需要高度关注。 Since the third quarter of 2008, the combination of many internal and external unfavorable factors has caused the biggest risk to the current Chinese economy. With the decline in economic growth, the risk of an overdone economy has become increasingly prominent. Of course, at present, the decline of China's economic growth is to some extent also the result of the regulative initiative of the regulatory authorities. The endogenous motivation of China's economic growth is still strong. If we can fully grasp the opportunities for industrialization, urbanization and consumer upgrading, the economy of China can still achieve steady and rapid growth. Therefore, the next phase of the policy direction needs a high degree of attention.