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老虎在如小猫般大时是无人过问的。不过.当小猫逐渐成长,并现出“虎”相时.人们就会议论纷纷:它究竟是猫是虎?是真老虎还是假老虎? 这正是中国所遭遇的一段经历。中国经济从崩溃的边缘通过改革开往而新生.并在世界上日益崛起。当它如此快速地成长时.目迷五色的世人难免要问:中国经济的情况如何?中国经济的高速增长是真实还是迷幻? 这样的疑问当然也会掺杂复杂的国际背景:当911后.全球资本有可能流向成长中的中国.眼红的人们忍不住要大喝一声:“当心掉进陷阱……”假如唱衰中国经济增长的论点能够成立.还有一点也是可以肯定的:世界必将重新评估中国.并调整包括对华投资在内的许多决策。原因十分简单.中国实际经济增长为负。随时可能崩溃,国际资本谁还敢向中国投资呢?如果国际资本都弃中国而去.中国经济便有可能进入预言“自动实现(self enforcing)的怪圈:因乌鸦嘴的出现而导致了灾难.因灾难的发生而应验了乌鸦嘴。到头来.人们将搞不清是中国经济增长有问题而出事.还是因为有人喊中国经济有问题而使得中国经济出了事。这再次说明,澄清中国经济增长的真伪.给出中国经济增长的真实故事的确是眼下的一件大事。所谓“真的假不了.假的真不了”。还是让我们平心静气地来梳理一下中国经济增长.尽可能给出一个真实的中国经济增长的故事吧!
The tiger is unmanned when it is as big as a kitten. However, as the kittens grow and show the “tiger” phase, people talk about whether it is a cat, a tiger, a real tiger or a fake tiger. That is exactly what China experienced. China’s economy was born from the brink of collapse through reform and is rising in the world. When it grows so rapidly, it is inevitable that the world with its five colored eyes will ask: What is the economic situation in China, and whether the rapid growth of China’s economy is real or psychedelic? Of course, this question will also have a complicated international context: Global capital is likely to flow to growing China, and red-eyed people can not help but shout: “Beware of falling into the traps ...” If the argument about China’s economic growth can be set off, there is one thing to be sure: the world China will be re-evaluated and many decisions, including investment in China, adjusted. The reason is very simple: China’s real economic growth is negative. It is possible that the international capital will dare to invest in China? If the international capital abandons China, the Chinese economy may enter a cycle of “self-enforcing” predictions that disaster will be caused by the emergence of the crow’s mouth. In the end, people will not be able to figure out whether there is a problem with China’s economic growth or whether some people are crying out about the problems in China’s economy and causing the Chinese economy to fail. This shows once again that it is time to clarify China’s economic growth The real story of China’s economic growth is indeed a major event right now the so-called “really can not fake false really.” Or let us calm down to sort out China’s economic growth as much as possible to give a True story of China’s economic growth now!