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前不久,笔者随中国银行国际金融研究所与经贸部国际贸易研究所联合专家小组,前往伦敦、巴黎、法兰克福和苏黎世进行考察。在同西方经济专家和银行家的交谈中,发现他们对西方经济形势的分析,有些独到之处。 西欧经济在1983—1987年连续5年低速增长之后,1988年出现强劲增长,经济增长率达到3.5％,大大超过人们原先预期的1.7％,是12年来的最高水平。至于今后西欧经济发展的趋势,他们下述一些看法给笔者留下了深刻印象。
Not long ago, I went to London, Paris, Frankfurt and Zurich to study with a joint expert group led by the Institute of International Finance of Bank of China and the Institute of International Trade and Economic Cooperation. In their conversations with Western economic experts and bankers, they found that they were somewhat unique in their analysis of the economic situation in the West. After a five-year slow-growth period in 1983-1987, Western Europe enjoyed strong growth in 1988 with an economic growth rate of 3.5%, far exceeding the previous expectation of 1.7% and the highest level in 12 years. As for the trend of economic development in Western Europe in the future, some of their views below left a deep impression on the author.