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影响全球经济失衡的因素目前被归结为金融发展和国际分工优势上的差异。但这些因素并不完全是外生决定的,在不同国家或地区,这些因素之间的彼此联系也完全不同。基于这些经验事实,我们构建了一个初步的理论模型分析框架。研究发现:金融发展理论和国际分工优势理论在解释全球经济失衡问题方面都存在着缺陷;一国技术与金融创新能力、所处的国际竞争位置和其在治理全球经济失衡问题中的政策选择有着紧密的关系。结合中国经济发展特点和所属阶段,中国在治理全球经济失衡问题方面应采取以技术创新为主、以有助于技术创新的金融创新能力提升和国际经济组织治理为辅的模式,而不能仅着眼于治理金融失衡或分工失衡。
The factors affecting the global economic imbalances are now attributed to differences in the advantages of financial development and international division of labor. However, these factors are not entirely determined exogenously. In different countries or regions, the connection between these factors is quite different. Based on these empirical facts, we construct a preliminary theoretical model analysis framework. The findings are as follows: Both the theory of financial development and the theory of international division of labor advantage have some defects in explaining the problem of global economic imbalance. The ability of a country to innovate in technology and finance, its international competitive position and its policy choices in the management of global economic imbalances Close relationship. Combining the characteristics of China’s economic development and their respective stages, China should take the model of technological innovation as the mainstay, the improvement of financial innovation capability as a contribution to technological innovation, and the supplement of governance by international economic organizations, rather than focusing solely on the issue of managing global economic imbalances To manage the financial imbalance or division of labor imbalance.