美联储加息或将是压垮美国页岩气产业最重要的一根稻草。美联储加息或将是压垮美国页岩气产业最重要的一根稻草。笔者曾用美国公开信息对其页岩油气产业进行数学建模,并撰“美国页岩油气开发商竟都在裸泳”一文,明确指出页岩油气田开发“一般从削减资本支出到产量下降,约为半年左右,所以,在2015年中期,美国页岩油产出量开始大幅度下降的概率较大。”这一模型预测结论已得到美国能源信息署(EIA)在7月13日的证实。据EIA报告称,8月其追踪的7个页岩油区日产量下降9.1万桶,至540万桶,为11个月以来最低水平,且比7月的预估产量下降 The Fed’s rate hike may be the most important straw that shatters the U.S. shale gas industry. The Fed’s rate hike may be the most important straw that shatters the U.S. shale gas industry. The author used the American public information to carry out mathematical modeling of its shale oil and gas industry and wrote a paper entitled “US shale oil and gas developers actually are nude swimming”, clearly pointed out that the development of shale oil and gas fields “generally reduce capital expenditures Production is expected to decline by about half a year, so the probability of a sharp drop in shale oil production in the United States starts to plummet in mid-2015. ”" The model predicts that the conclusions have been received by the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) in July Confirmed on the 13th. According to the EIA report, the daily output of the seven shale oil fields tracked in August dropped by 9.1 million barrels to 5.4 million barrels, the lowest level in 11 months and lower than the projected production in July