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所谓风险,就是不确定性,就是不清楚事件发生在哪里、什么时候发生以及影响有多大。金融活动的市场主体各种各样,数量巨大,关系错综复杂,千变万化,要将风险说清楚本身就是一个悖论,因为真正能说清楚的风险就不是风险了。这几年我国高度关注“黑天鹅”事件,列举出很多的风险点,比如房地产泡沫、经济领域高杠杆率、非法集资、影子银行、金融科技风险、流动性风险、担保圈风险及国际冲击的风险等,然而到底哪些会真正成为“黑天鹅”事件,确实难以精准把
The so-called risk, is the uncertainty, it is not clear where the incident occurred, when and how much impact. The various market players in financial activities are numerous, numerous, complicated and ever-changing. To clarify the risks clearly is a paradox because the risks that can be clearly stated are not risks. In recent years, our country has been paying close attention to the “Black Swan” incident and listed many risk points such as the real estate bubble, high leverage in the economic field, illegal fund-raising, shadow banking, financial technology risk, liquidity risk, bond risk and international Impact risk, etc., but in the end what will actually become “Black Swan ” incident, it is indeed difficult to accurately