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地地战术导弹对抗反导导弹的威胁实现突防，是地地战术导弹作战运用的一个重要研究课题，是地地战术导弹发扬火力、实现有效打击的关键。本文运用系统工程理论、概率论和可靠性理论对这一问题进行了研究，提出了确定地地战术导弹突防能力的主要因素，建立了地地战术导弹射后生存的突防模型。通过模型的定量分析，得出了提高地地战术导弹突防能力的几条重要措施。最后，就地地战术导弹突防对策的系统建设，提出了建议。本文论点与模型对地地战术导弹的研制和作战运用有重大的指导意义，且同样适用于空军、海军空空、空地、海空、海地战术导弹突防对策的有效性分析。
Surface-to-surface tactics missiles to prevent the threat of anti-missile missile penetration is ground-based tactical missile operations an important research topic, is the ground to tactical missiles to carry forward the fire, the key to effective combat. In this paper, the system engineering theory, probability theory and reliability theory are used to study this problem. The main factors that determine the penetration ability of the ground-to-air tactical missile are put forward, and the penetration model of the ground-based tactical missile survival is established. Through the quantitative analysis of the model, several important measures are put forward to improve the penetration ability of the ground-to-air tactical missile. Finally, the system construction of the on-the-ground tactical missile penetration prevention measures is put forward. This thesis is of great guiding significance for the development and operation of ground-based tactical missiles and is also applicable to the effectiveness analysis of air defense, air-ground, air-ground, air-sea and land-based tactical missile penetration prevention measures.