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目前,地方政府收入主要来源于税收,当地方政府收入占地区GDP比重扩大时,就会加重纳税人的税负,导致居民可支配收入下降,使居民消费率降低,从而降低最终消费率。通过回归分析表明:政府收入占比提高1个百分点,消费需求率就下降0.46个百分点。2000年~2013年我国政府收入占比的不断上升导致消费需求下降3.9个百分点,说明地方政府收入占地区GDP比重提高,是我国消费需求下降的重要原因。
At present, the revenue of local governments mainly comes from taxes. When the revenue of local governments accounts for the increase of the proportion of regional GDP, taxpayers’ tax burden will be aggravated, which leads to a decrease of disposable income of residents and a decrease of consumption rate of residents, thus reducing the final consumption rate. Regression analysis shows that: government revenue share increased by 1 percentage point, the consumer demand rate decreased by 0.46 percentage points. From 2000 to 2013, the rising proportion of government revenue in China led to a 3.9 percentage point drop in consumer demand. This shows that the increase in the share of local government revenue in the regional GDP is an important reason for the decline in consumer demand in our country.