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传统的电源规划投资模型的优化目标是投资费用的最小化 ,没有考虑企业选择权的价值 ,在现代电力企业的投资决策中有其局限性。本文改进了传统的电源规划投资模型 ,建立了考虑延期选择权价值和未来不确定风险下 ,基于期望净现值最大化的电源投资模型 ,并在此基础上讨论了“延期选择权价值”的计算方法
The traditional power planning investment model optimization goal is to minimize investment costs, did not consider the value of business options, investment decisions in modern power companies have their limitations. This paper improves the traditional power planning investment model, establishes the power investment model based on the expected net present value considering the value of the deferred option and the risk of uncertainty in the future, and on this basis discusses the “deferred option value” Calculation method