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2010年是国际金融危机以来世界经济形势最为复杂的一年。全球主要国家的经济渐次步入恢复期,各国经济政策的调整出现多元化的局面。在率先实现经济复苏后,我国的宏观经济政策开始出现与主导国家经济政策逆向调整的情况,加大了宏观调控的难度。通货膨胀(以下简称“通胀”)已经成为困扰我国宏观经济持续稳定发展的核心问题。多种因素、多种风险和多种类型的通胀压力累积在一起,形成了异常棘手的复合式通胀。本文以“供给管理”为方向,构建了在“积极稳健、审慎灵活”大框架下的宏观调控政策体系,并提出了积极财政政策与稳健货币政策的具体政策建议。
2010 is the most complicated one in the world economic situation since the international financial crisis. The economies of the major countries in the world have gradually entered a recovery phase, and the adjustment of economic policies in various countries has diversified. After taking the lead in realizing the economic recovery, the macroeconomic policies of our country began to appear to reverse the adjustment of the leading economic policies of the country and increased the difficulty of macroeconomic regulation and control. Inflation (hereinafter referred to as “inflation”) has become a core issue that has plagued the sustained and steady development of China’s macroeconomy. A combination of multiple factors, multiple risks and multiple types of inflationary pressures have created an unusually complex combination of inflation. Based on “supply management ”, this paper constructs a macro-control policy system under the framework of “active, prudent and flexible ”, and puts forward the specific policy recommendations of active fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy.