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本文从分析中国20世纪90年代农村移民发展态势的角度研究了该国产业转型的过程。作者通过建立一个具有广泛适用性的福利模型,对中国农民从农村单边流入城市的现状和成因进行了详细调研和分析,并针对不同省份分析了这种移民行为对产业结构的影响。研究发现作为主要变量之一的劳动力流动与产业升级存在着正相关性。同时,作者对体制和社会因素进行了分析,这些因素强化了初期的劳动力流动及其后农村移民与产业转型的相互关系。本文认为中国政府和农村个人应当采取平衡决策以适应公共基础设施建设和人性化建设需求,以便为中国目前新型工业化努力提供更好的转换桥梁。
This paper studies the process of industrial restructuring in China from the perspective of analyzing the development of rural immigrants in China in the 1990s. Through establishing a welfare model with extensive applicability, the author conducts a detailed investigation and analysis of the current situation and causes of the peasants’ unilateral inflow into the cities from rural areas and analyzes the impact of such immigration behaviors on the industrial structure for different provinces. The study found that there is a positive correlation between labor mobility and industrial upgrading as one of the main variables. At the same time, the author analyzes the institutional and social factors that have strengthened the initial labor mobility and the subsequent interrelationship between rural immigration and industrial restructuring. This paper argues that the Chinese government and individuals in rural areas should adopt balanced policies to meet the needs of public infrastructure construction and humanization so as to provide a better transition bridge for the new-typed industrialization efforts in China.