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近年来,我国对苯二甲酸产业发展突飞猛进,截至2014年底,总产能达到4456.4万吨/年,产量达到2656万吨。表观消费并未似产能那样出现巨大的增长。2014年,我国对苯二甲酸表观消费量达2744.4万吨,同比增长2.3%。2014年我国对苯二甲酸进口大幅下滑,出口量依旧保持了快速增长,国产产品正越来越多地替代进口缺口。未来几年,我国对苯二甲酸产能还将持续增长,在这一快速扩张的背景下,未来我国PTA产业利润率必将进一步被压缩,供给过剩势头将影响产业发展态势。聚酯产业的发展在PTA需求方面仍将起到决定性的拉动作用。预计2016年我国对苯二甲酸表现消费量将达到3500万吨。
In recent years, China’s terephthalic acid industry by leaps and bounds, as of the end of 2014, total production capacity reached 44.564 million tons / year, production reached 26.56 million tons. Apparent consumption did not appear to be as huge as productivity growth. In 2014, apparent consumption of terephthalic acid in China reached 27.444 million tons, an increase of 2.3% over the same period of last year. China’s import of terephthalic acid dropped sharply in 2014, and its export volume still maintained a rapid growth. Domestic products are increasingly replacing the import gap. In the next few years, the production capacity of terephthalic acid in China will also continue to grow. In the context of this rapid expansion, the profit margin of China’s PTA industry will surely be further compressed in the future. The excess supply will affect the industrial development trend. The development of polyester industry will still play a decisive role in PTA demand. It is estimated that the consumption of terephthalic acid in China in 2016 will reach 35 million tons.