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美国《油气杂志》报道了国际能源机构总经济师荷曼弗朗赛(Herman Franssen)关于世界原油储、产量的预测,现将其观点综述如下: 当前,世界原油探明储量为6,690亿桶,未发现的原油可采储量为5,000至15,000亿桶。在今后15年中,将需要发现2020亿桶原油才能满足世界的需要。假定在2000年能够取得这样的成果,将要作出很大努力并且对新发现要有较高的成功率。
The American Oil and Gas Magazine reported on the forecast of world crude oil storage and production by Herman Franssen, the chief economist of the International Energy Agency, and now summarizes his views as follows: At present, the world’s proven reserves of crude oil are 690 billion barrels. Undiscovered reserves of crude oil from 5,000 to 1,500 billion barrels. In the next 15 years, 2020 billion barrels of crude oil will need to be discovered to meet the needs of the world. Assuming that such achievements can be achieved in the year 2000, great efforts will be made and new successes will be achieved.