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随着我国城市化水平不断提高,居民出行数量与质量要求增加,城市的机动交通活动更加频繁,由此引发的能源消费增加和污染等问题愈加严重。通过对不同类型城市的交通调查数据与统计资料的分析,讨论城市交通的能源消费现状,以补充现有交通统计的不足。并利用AIM/Enduse模型对未来进行耗能情景模拟,为政策制定提供依据。
With the continuous improvement of the level of urbanization in our country, the number and quality of residents’ trips have increased, and the motorized transportation activities in cities have become more frequent. The problems such as increased energy consumption and pollution caused by this have become more serious. Through the analysis of traffic survey data and statistical data of different types of cities, the status quo of energy consumption in urban traffic is discussed to supplement the deficiencies of existing traffic statistics. And use the AIM / Enduse model to simulate the energy consumption scenario in the future and provide the basis for policy making.