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油田企业采取增产措施稳定或者增加原油的产量,相对地增加了企业的操作成本。操作成本的增加降低了企业的利润,因而有必要对其进行预测和控制。为了给企业的决策提供良好的帮助,本文在灰色预测方法的基础上,结合马尔科夫预测方法依据较少时期内的操作成本的数据对该企业的最后一期的成本情况做了预测和对比,最后得到了精度较高的预测数据,对操作成本未来的状态作了比较准确的判断,证明该方法能够辅助企业的决策。
Oilfield enterprises to increase production measures to stabilize or increase the output of crude oil, the relative increase in operating costs. Increased operating costs reduce the profitability of the business, making it necessary to predict and control it. In order to provide good help to the decision-making of enterprises, this paper predicts and compares the cost of the last phase of the enterprise based on the gray forecasting method and Markov forecasting method based on the data of the operating costs in a relatively short period of time Finally, the forecasting data with high precision is obtained, and the more accurate judgment of the future state of operation cost is made, which proves that this method can assist the decision-making of enterprises.