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关于西方经济的长周期波动问题,长期以来受到众多经济学家的关注和研究,并一直存在争议。近些年来,国内外学者在对这一问题的探讨中又相继提出了不少新的观点。为了更好地了解资本主义经济发展的历史过程,探讨分析当代西方经济的特点与未来的发展趋势,去年12月31日和今年1月28日,我校《现代帝国主义研究》课题组就“长波”问题分两次举行了小型学术讨论会,现将主要观点综述如下。 中央办公厅调研室的赵涛同志首先介绍了国内外对“长波”问题的研究状况。她认为,尽管西方的许多正统经济学家否认“长波”的存在,但事实上资本主义经济发展过程中是
The issue of the long-term volatility of the western economy has long been the focus of many economists and has been controversial. In recent years, scholars both at home and abroad have put forward many new ideas one after another in their discussions on this issue. In order to better understand the historical process of capitalist economic development and explore the characteristics of the contemporary Western economy and the future development trend, on December 31 of last year and January 28 of this year, the research group on “research of modern imperialism” Long wave “issue held in two small seminars, the main points are summarized below. Comrade Zhao Tao of the Central Research Office first introduced the research status of ”long-wave“ issues at home and abroad. She believes that while many orthodox economists in the West have denied the existence of ”long waves," the fact is that in the process of capitalist economic development