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改革开放30年以来,河南省经济建设取得了飞速的发展。并在此发展过程中,不断推进产业结构调整,产业结构不断优化,实现了经济建设重心不断由第一产业向第二、三产业的转变。本文正是运用VAR模型对1978年-2012年的数据进行分析,来试图阐释河南省经济发展过程中,劳动力转移与产业结构变迁的动态演化关系,并提出相应的政策解释。
Since the reform and opening up 30 years ago, Henan’s economic construction has achieved rapid development. In the process of development, the industrial structure adjustment and the optimization of the industrial structure have been continuously promoted, and the center of economic construction has been continuously transformed from the primary industry to the secondary and tertiary industries. In this paper, VAR model is used to analyze the data from 1978 to 2012 to try to explain the dynamic evolution relationship between labor force transfer and industrial structure change during the economic development in Henan Province, and to propose the corresponding policy explanation.