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一、综合景气指数2015年8月化工行业综合景气指数终值为98.21,预计9月景气指数初值为98.02,比8月回落0.19点,微幅下调。8月份,构成化工行业景气指数的3个分指数(经季节调整去除季节影响因素)与7月相比,延续7月走势:利润分指数大幅回落,价格分指数中幅回调,而生产分指数微幅回升。具体走势见图1。二、综合预警指数预计9月化工行业预警指数继续在绿灯区运行,初值较8月小幅回落0.36点,预警指数为22.94,超过浅蓝灯区警戒线0.94点。具体走势见图2。
I. Comprehensive Prosperity Index The final value of the comprehensive prosperity index of the chemical industry in August 2015 is 98.21. The initial index of September prosperity index is expected to be 98.02, down 0.19 points from August, slightly downwards. In August, the three sub-indices (seasonally adjusted to remove the seasonally-influenced factors) that make up the climate index of the chemical industry continued the trend in July compared with that in July: the profit sub-index plummeted, the price sub-index rebounded, and the production sub-index A slight rebound. The specific trend shown in Figure 1. Second, the comprehensive early warning index is expected in September chemical industry warning index continued to run in the green zone, the initial value of a slight drop in August compared with 0.36 points, early warning index was 22.94, light blue light area warning line 0.94 points. The specific trend shown in Figure 2.