论文部分内容阅读
基于经济系统脆弱性内涵,从石油城市经济系统对区域可采石油资源逐渐枯竭的敏感性及应对能力两个方面构建了脆弱性评价指标体系和评估模型,利用熵值法和综合指数法对经济系统脆弱性进行定量评估。以大庆市为例,分析其2001年以来经济系统脆弱性时序变化特征,同时选择5个典型地级石油城市与其进行对比研究。结果表明:研究期内大庆市经济系统脆弱性呈现出逐年下降趋势,但仍处于脆弱等级;与其他石油城市相比,2006年大庆市经济系统脆弱性低于西部城市,高于中东部城市,与东北其他城市相近。最后提出了降低经济系统脆弱性的对策与建议,以期为石油城市经济转型提供科学参考。
Based on the connotation of the fragility of economic system, this paper constructs the vulnerability assessment index system and evaluation model from two aspects: the sensibility and ability of petroleum city economic system to gradually depletion of recoverable petroleum resources in the region, and uses the entropy method and the comprehensive index method to analyze the economic System Vulnerability Quantitative Assessment. Taking Daqing City as an example, this paper analyzes the characteristics of the time series of the vulnerability of the economic system since 2001, and compares it with five typical oil-level cities. The results show that during the study period, the fragility of the economic system in Daqing City has been declining year by year, but still at a fragile level. Compared with other oil-based cities, the economic system in Daqing City in 2006 was lower than the western cities in economic system, Similar to other cities in Northeast China. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions to reduce the vulnerability of the economic system are put forward in order to provide a scientific reference for the economic transformation of petroleum cities.