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中国是世界上地震灾害损失最严重的国家之一,全国50%以上的城市和70%左右的大中城市位于7度及以上烈度区内.地震的发生给中国社会带来了很大的危害和损失,主要的损失分布在以北京为中心的首都圈地区和云南-四川-陕西-内蒙古相连的南北带上,另外新疆的西北部也是地震损失较大的地区.所谓地震灾害风险是指建立在各地防震减灾能力基础上的未来地震损失估汁,风险的特征是具有一定的不确定性.从中国的实际情况来看,东部沿海地区、首都圈地区及内陆的个别地区防震减灾能力较强,而未来地震危险性则以中国西部地区和华北地区为主.通过对中国未来10—15年地震风险的研究,可以认为,中国的东部地区虽然有一定的地震危险性,但由于其经济发达,减灾能力很强,因此未来地震造成巨大损失的风险较小;中国的中部(南北带)和西部地区地震危险性很大,同时经济欠发达,减灾能力较差,因此未来地震造成巨大损失的风险很大.
China is one of the countries with the most serious earthquake disaster losses in the world. Over 50% of the cities in the country and about 70% of the large and medium-sized cities are located in the intensity zone of 7 degrees and above. The occurrence of the earthquake brought great harm and loss to Chinese society. The main losses were distributed in the metropolitan area centered on Beijing and the north-south belt linked to Yunnan-Sichuan-Shaanxi-Inner Mongolia. In addition, the earthquake in the northwestern part of Xinjiang was also an earthquake Loss of larger areas. The so-called earthquake disaster risk refers to the future earthquake loss assessment based on the ability of earthquake disaster prevention and reduction all over the world. The risk is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty. Judging from the actual situation in China, the capacity of earthquake prevention and disaster reduction in the eastern coastal areas, the metropolitan area and inland areas is strong, while the future seismic risk is dominated by western China and North China. Through the study of the earthquake risk in China in the next 10-15 years, we can conclude that although there is a certain earthquake risk in the eastern part of China, the risk of huge losses caused by future earthquakes is small because of its economic development and strong disaster reduction capability. There is a great risk of earthquakes in the central (north-south) and western regions of China, and at the same time the economy is underdeveloped and the capacity for disaster reduction is poor. Therefore, the risk of huge losses caused by future earthquakes is high.