中国未来10~15年地震灾害的风险评估

来源 :自然灾害学报 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:sumjoy
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
中国是世界上地震灾害损失最严重的国家之一,全国50%以上的城市和70%左右的大中城市位于7度及以上烈度区内.地震的发生给中国社会带来了很大的危害和损失,主要的损失分布在以北京为中心的首都圈地区和云南-四川-陕西-内蒙古相连的南北带上,另外新疆的西北部也是地震损失较大的地区.所谓地震灾害风险是指建立在各地防震减灾能力基础上的未来地震损失估汁,风险的特征是具有一定的不确定性.从中国的实际情况来看,东部沿海地区、首都圈地区及内陆的个别地区防震减灾能力较强,而未来地震危险性则以中国西部地区和华北地区为主.通过对中国未来10—15年地震风险的研究,可以认为,中国的东部地区虽然有一定的地震危险性,但由于其经济发达,减灾能力很强,因此未来地震造成巨大损失的风险较小;中国的中部(南北带)和西部地区地震危险性很大,同时经济欠发达,减灾能力较差,因此未来地震造成巨大损失的风险很大. China is one of the countries with the most serious earthquake disaster losses in the world. Over 50% of the cities in the country and about 70% of the large and medium-sized cities are located in the intensity zone of 7 degrees and above. The occurrence of the earthquake brought great harm and loss to Chinese society. The main losses were distributed in the metropolitan area centered on Beijing and the north-south belt linked to Yunnan-Sichuan-Shaanxi-Inner Mongolia. In addition, the earthquake in the northwestern part of Xinjiang was also an earthquake Loss of larger areas. The so-called earthquake disaster risk refers to the future earthquake loss assessment based on the ability of earthquake disaster prevention and reduction all over the world. The risk is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty. Judging from the actual situation in China, the capacity of earthquake prevention and disaster reduction in the eastern coastal areas, the metropolitan area and inland areas is strong, while the future seismic risk is dominated by western China and North China. Through the study of the earthquake risk in China in the next 10-15 years, we can conclude that although there is a certain earthquake risk in the eastern part of China, the risk of huge losses caused by future earthquakes is small because of its economic development and strong disaster reduction capability. There is a great risk of earthquakes in the central (north-south) and western regions of China, and at the same time the economy is underdeveloped and the capacity for disaster reduction is poor. Therefore, the risk of huge losses caused by future earthquakes is high.
其他文献
博帕尔灾难 1984年12月3日,美国的跨国公司联合碳化物公司在印度中央邦首府博帕尔开办的一家农药厂,发生了一起严重的毒气泄漏事故,给当地居民带来巨大的灾难。 12月2日子夜
基于"法布里-珀罗(F-P)干涉仪测量钠灯波长差"物理教学实验,介绍了法布里-珀罗干涉仪的基本工作原理;针对干涉圆环调节难度大和微调鼓轮改变光程操作耗时长给教学中操作者带
结合医院实际,介绍医院绩效管理中绩效目标的设计方法。首先确定医院战略目标,根据战略目标制定目标任务书,并将目标任务书分解到科室和员工,制定科室和员工的目标任务书。在
过渡金属羰基配合物是有机金属配合物中一类比较特殊的配合物。自1890年Mond制得第一个羰基配合物[Ni(CO)<sub>4</sub>]以来,过渡金属的羰基配合物至今几乎都已制得。与其他有
某石化加氢反应器压检期间发现器壁堆焊层存在多处裂纹缺陷,影响了反应器的安全等级及检验周期,为消除堆焊层裂纹缺陷,某石化多次组织缺陷返修,终于成功地修复了缺陷,经过3年
血凝集素样氧化低密度脂蛋白受体1(LOX-1)是氧化型低密度脂蛋白的主要受体,其在动脉粥样硬化的发生、发展机制中起着非常重要的介导作用,与急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)的发病及
<正>当我们提出质量是物质之量的量度(这个概念由牛顿首先提出)和动量是惯性的量度的观点后[1],引起了物理学界许多同仁的反对[2],这是不奇怪的。为此,我们不得不再论质量是
期刊
本试验用天然抗病毒剂VA作诱导因子,抗病品种枯斑三生烟(Nicotiana tabacum L.SamSun NN)和感病品种三生烟(Nicotiana tabacum L.SamSun)经VA诱导处理后(清水作对照)接种TMV.