论文部分内容阅读
能源产业是国民经济的基础产业,制定合理的能源价格机制来保证能源供给与能源需求的相对平衡具有重要的意义。基于对北京市居民进行的问卷调查和深度访谈,分析了北京市居民的能源消费结构,并运用协整计量经济模型和回归分析,探究了北京市居民的能源价格响应情况。结果表明,居民电力和天然气的收入弹性为正,液化石油气和煤炭的收入弹性为负;居民能源自价格弹性最大的是液化石油气,最小的是煤炭,电力和天然气的自价格弹性分别为-0.22和-0.44;电力和天然气之间的交叉价格弹性相对较大,替代关系较强。电动汽车具有很多潜在用户,从未来来看,随着电动汽车补贴等政策激励机制的加强,电力和石油之间的交叉弹性将增大。
Energy industry is the basic industry of national economy. It is of great significance to formulate reasonable energy price mechanism to ensure the relative balance between energy supply and energy demand. Based on questionnaires and in-depth interviews with residents in Beijing, this paper analyzes the energy consumption structure of residents in Beijing and uses the co-integration econometric model and regression analysis to explore the energy price response of residents in Beijing. The results show that the income elasticity of residential electricity and natural gas is positive and the income elasticity of liquefied petroleum gas and coal is negative. The residents with the highest price elasticity of liquefied petroleum gas and the smallest coal are the self-price elasticities of electricity and natural gas respectively -0.22 and -0.44; the cross-price elasticity of electricity and natural gas is relatively large, the substitution is stronger. There are many potential users of electric vehicles, in the future, with the electric vehicle subsidies and other policy incentives to strengthen the cross-fertilization of electricity and oil will increase.