一、国际经济金融趋势预测今年全球贸易增长趋缓,消费需求仍显不足。工业国家资产价格下跌造成的影响尚未完全释放;一些发达国家运用宏观经济政策调节的空间越来越小;部分国家银行体系的问题逐渐显现,经济发展的脆弱性增加。由于内需不足,以日本和欧元区为主的发达国家的经济复苏对美国经济的依赖严重,经济发展受美国经济发展的影响很大。 I. Forecast of International Economic and Financial Trends Global trade growth slowed down this year and consumer demand remained insufficient. The impact of the drop in asset prices in industrialized countries has not yet been fully released. Some developed countries have less and less room to adjust their macroeconomic policies. The problems of the banking system in some countries have gradually become apparent, and their vulnerability to economic growth has increased. Due to insufficient domestic demand, the economic recovery in developed countries, mainly Japan and the euro zone, is heavily dependent on the U.S. economy. Economic development is greatly affected by the U.S. economic development.