论文部分内容阅读
一、引言 文献[1]运用灰色理论得到了武汉市机动车发展的预测数学模型及其预测值。同时应用通道分配法和Markov链分析方法得到了长江二桥建成后长江大桥和长江二桥的分流率,以及1993—2000年的分流率转移变化结果。最后还研究了黄埔路口交通量的变化情况。本文作者拜读后,认为以下几个问题还值得进一步探讨: 1.长江二桥建成时的分流率取定 文献[1]列出了长江二桥建成时的三个分流率:《武汉长江公路桥可行性研究报告》定为51％,《武汉市机动车统计预测长江二桥分流计算技术报告》定为33.60％,文
I. INTRODUCTION Literature [1] used the gray theory to get the predictive mathematical model of the development of motor vehicles in Wuhan. At the same time, using the channel allocation method and the Markov chain analysis method, the diversion rates of the Yangtze River Second Bridge and the Yangtze River Second Bridge after the completion of the Second Yangtze River Bridge are obtained, and the results of the diversion of the diversion rate from 1993 to 2000 are also obtained. Finally, we also study the changes of traffic volume at Huangpu intersection. After reading this article, the author thinks that the following questions are worth further exploration: 1. The diversion rate of the Second Yangtze River Bridge when it was constructed [1] lists the three diversion rates when the Second Yangtze River Bridge is completed: “Wuhan Yangtze River Highway Bridge Feasibility Study Report ”set at 51%,“ Wuhan Motor Vehicle Statistics forecast Second Branch of the Yangtze River shunt calculation technology ”was set at 33.60%, the text