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发展低碳经济是应对全球气候变暖的有效措施之一。低碳经济评价涉及的因素非常多,评价信息具有不确切性和不完备性,决定了低碳经济评价的灰色性。针对这一特点,采用灰色理论进行低碳经济发展综合评价。首先分析了低碳经济涉及的因素,并在此基础上构建低碳经济评价指标体系;然后依据评价模型对江苏2002~2011年低碳经济发展状况进行了评价。实证研究表明,低碳经济发展的灰色评价所得结果客观、可信,能够为低碳经济发展提供决策的依据。
Developing a low-carbon economy is one of the effective measures to cope with global warming. There are many factors involved in the evaluation of low-carbon economy, and the evaluation information is inaccurate and incomplete, which determines the grayness of the evaluation of low-carbon economy. In response to this feature, the gray theory is used to evaluate the comprehensive development of low-carbon economy. First of all, it analyzes the factors involved in low-carbon economy and builds a low-carbon economy evaluation index system. Based on the evaluation model, it evaluates the development of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu from 2002 to 2011. The empirical research shows that the gray evaluation result of low-carbon economy development is objective, reliable and can provide the basis for decision-making of low-carbon economy development.