跨入21世纪,面临着经济知识化和经济全球化洪流的严重冲击,中国经济将进入大调整、大转折、大变化、大发展时期。世纪之交的中国经济已进入全面、快速工业化的阶段;但也存在不少困难和问题,集中表现为明显的、多侧面的二元现象。通过定性分析和定量计算进行超长期预测,到2050年,中国GDP总量可能达到15万亿左右,人均约10万元,经济总规模居世界各国第二位(仅次于美国)。 Entering the 21st century, facing the serious impact of economic knowledge-based economy and the torrent of economic globalization, the Chinese economy will enter a period of major readjustment, major changes, major changes and great development. At the turn of the century, the Chinese economy has entered a stage of full and rapid industrialization. However, there are still many difficulties and problems that have manifested itself in a clear and multifaceted duality. By qualitative analysis and quantitative calculation of ultra-long-term forecasts, by 2050, China’s total GDP may reach about 15 trillion, about 100,000 yuan per capita, the total economy ranks second in the world (after the United States).