论文部分内容阅读
改革开放以来我国经济发展迅速,财政收入更是增长迅猛,与其他国家相比,我国财政收入占GDP的份额远大于发达国家。本文从定量分析的角度应用格兰杰因果检验方法研究了代表我国经济发展水平的国内生产总值和财政收入的相互关系。研究结果为:短期看财政收入并不是国内生产总值的原因,长期看国内生产总值可能是财政收入的原因。针对结果本文给出一些政策建议。
Since the reform and opening up, China’s economy has developed rapidly and its fiscal revenue has grown rapidly. Compared with other countries, China’s share of fiscal revenue in GDP far outweighs that of developed countries. This paper uses Granger causality test from the perspective of quantitative analysis to study the relationship between GDP and fiscal revenue that represents the level of economic development in our country. The result of the study is that in the short run, fiscal revenue is not the cause of GDP. In the long run, GDP may be the reason for fiscal revenue. This article gives some results for the policy recommendations.