就高新技术本身而言,都具有潜在的社会需求,都能在某些方面,在一定程度上满足人们生活或人类活动的某些需要。风险发生在人们生活或人类活动的需求是多方面的,人们会优先购买他们最急需的;而高新技术成果转化的供给是否恰巧正是他们最急需的,是风险产生的关键。基于人们的理性,满足人们生活或人类活动的需要是一种有先兆的需要,可以预测分析。在理论上,这 In the high-tech itself, all have potential social needs and can, in some aspects, meet certain needs of people’s lives or human activities to some extent. Risks Occur in the needs of people’s lives or human activities are many, people will give priority to buy the most urgently needed them; and the supply of high-tech achievement conversion is exactly what they urgently need, is the key to risk. Based on people’s rationality, meeting the needs of people’s lives or human activities is a threatening need for predictive analysis. In theory, this