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为唐山市制定卫生人力规划提供依据。方法 采用医院规划模式法 ,对唐山十县 (市 ) 2 0 10年县乡医院卫生人力需要量进行了预测。结果 随着人口数的增长及人口年龄结构老龄化或提高卫生人员与床位比值时 ,预测 2 0 10年卫生技术人员需要量分别为15 613和 1164 4人。所有参数不变或提高医院工作效率以及在提高医院工作效率的情况下发展县医院和乡卫生院时 ,预测 2 0 10年卫生技术人员需要量分别为 945 5、970 3、9740和 95 98人。结论 改变有关参数 ,可得到不同的预测结果。
Provide basis for the formulation of health manpower planning in Tangshan City. Methods The hospital planning model method was used to predict the health manpower requirements of county hospitals in 10 counties (cities) in Tangshan. Results With the increase in the number of population and ageing of the population or when the ratio of health personnel to the number of beds was increased, the number of health technicians expected in 2010 was 15,613 and 1,164, respectively. With all parameters unchanged or improving the efficiency of hospital work and the development of county hospitals and township hospitals in the context of improving the efficiency of hospital work, the number of health technicians expected in 2010 was 945 5, 970 3, 9740 and 95 98 respectively. . Conclusion Changing the relevant parameters can yield different prediction results.